The Geophysical Alert Broadcasts consist of three primary
sections to describe the Solar-terrestrial environment: The most
current information, then a summary of activity for the past 24
hours, and finally a forecast for the next 24 hours. The actual
wording of each section of the broadcast is explained below with a
brief description of what is being reported. Similar wording is also
used in other broadcasts, so the WWV example is relevant to other
reports too.
Current Information
'Solar-terrestrial indices for (UTC Date)
follow: Solar flux (number) and (estimated) Boulder A
index (number) . Repeat, solar flux (number) and
(estimated) Boulder A index (number) . The Boulder K index at
(UTC time) on (UTC Date) was (number) repeat
(number) .'
Since the final A index is not available until 0000 UTC, the
word 'estimated' is used for the 1800 and 2100 UTC
announcements.
Solar Flux
Solar Flux is a measurement of the intensity of solar radio
emissions at a frequency of 2800 MHz made using a radio telescope
located in Ottawa, Canada. Known also as the 10.7 cm flux (the
wavelength of the radio signals at 2800 MHz), this solar radio
emission has been shown to be proportional to sunspot activity. In
addition, the level of the sun's ultraviolet and X-ray emissions is
primarily responsible for causing ionization in the earth's upper
atmosphere. It is these emissions which produce the ionized 'layers'
involved in propagating shortwave radio signals over long
distances.
The solar flux number reported in the broadcast is in solar
flux units (s. f. u.) and is recorded daily at Ottawa at 1700 UTC to
be forwarded to the SESC. Solar flux readings range from a
theoretical minimum of approximately 67 to actually-observed numbers
greater than 300. Low solar flux numbers dominate during the lower
portions of the 11-year sunspot cycle, rising as the cycle proceeds
with the average solar flux a fairly reliable indicator of the
cycle's long-term behavior. 1 s. f. u. = 10-22Watt/(meter2·Hz) = 104
jansky.
A
Index
The A Index is an averaged quantitative measure of
geomagnetic activity derived from a series of physical measurements.
Magnetometers measure differences between the current orientation of
the magnetosphere and compare it to what it would be under 'quiet'
geomagnetic conditions.
But there is more to understanding the meaning of the
Boulder A index reported in the Geophysical Alert Broadcasts. The
Boulder A index in the announcement is the 24 hour A index derived
from the eight 3-hour K indices recorded at Boulder. The first
estimate of the Boulder A index is at 1800 UTC. This estimate is
made using the six observed Boulder K indices available at that time
(0000 to 1800 UTC) and the SESC forecaster's best prediction for the
remaining two K indices. To make those predictions, SESC forecasters
examine present trends and other geomagnetic indicators. At 2100
UTC, the next observed Boulder K index is measured and the estimated
A index is reevaluated and updated if necessary. At 0000 UTC, the
eighth and last Boulder K index is measured and the actual Boulder A
index is produced. For the 0000 UTC announcement and all subsequent
announcements the word 'estimated' is dropped and the actual Boulder
A index is used.
The underlying concept of the A index is to
provide a longer-term picture of geomagnetic activity using
measurements averaged either over some time frame or
from a range of stations over the globe (or both). Numbers presented
as A indices are the result of a several-step process: first, a
magnetometer reading is taken to produce a K index for that station
(see K INDEX below); the K index is adjusted for the
station's geographical location to produce an a index (no
typographical error here, it is a small case 'a') for that 3-hour
period; and finally a collection of a indices is averaged to produce
an overall A index for the timeframe or region of
interest.
A
and a indices range in value from 0 to 400 and are derived
from K-indices based on the table of equivalents shown in the
APPENDIX.
K Index
The K index is the result of a 3-hourly magnetometer
measurement comparing the current geomagnetic field orientation and
intensity to what it would have been under geomagnetically 'quiet'
conditions. K index measurements are made at sites throughout the
globe and each is carefully adjusted for the geomagnetic
characteristics of its locality. The scale used is quasi
logarithmic, increasing as the geomagnetic field becomes more
disturbed. K indices range in value from 0 to 9.
In
the Geophysical Alert Broadcasts, the K index used is usually
derived from magnetometer measurements made at the Table Mountain
Observatory located just north of Boulder, Colorado. Every 3 hours
new K indices are determined and the broadcasts are
updated.
Conditions for the Past 24 hours
'Solar-terrestrial conditions for the last 24 hours
follow: Solar activity was (Very low, Low, Moderate,
High, or Very high) , the geomagnetic field was (Quiet,
Unsettled, Active, Minor storm, Major storm, Severe storm)
.'
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